Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.337964 0.449659 0.572512 0.715471 0.875294 1.046772 1.243062
2025-04-13 0.200047 0.347894 0.530239 0.760666 1.035171 1.344552 1.713176
2025-04-20 0.135483 0.296069 0.512289 0.800764 1.157587 1.570706 2.073170
2025-04-27 0.094409 0.261887 0.506907 0.849029 1.284766 1.799382 2.434544
2025-05-04 0.073839 0.250975 0.527382 0.925863 1.443330 2.062296 2.833279
2025-05-11 0.051689 0.228691 0.526669 0.971255 1.560190 2.273622 3.170247
2025-05-18 0.029694 0.195269 0.503169 0.981444 1.629200 2.424697 3.433962
2025-05-25 0.008653 0.142272 0.438399 0.926971 1.609470 2.463199 3.559881
2025-06-01 0.000330 0.097634 0.376060 0.868278 1.578614 2.483753 3.660683
2025-06-08 NaN 0.071426 0.340017 0.844115 1.590704 2.555592 3.821643
2025-06-15 NaN 0.060091 0.331777 0.861858 1.659432 2.698887 4.070004
2025-06-22 NaN 0.045353 0.310794 0.856529 1.694384 2.797787 4.262731
2025-06-29 NaN 0.029425 0.280951 0.836473 1.711461 2.878661 4.440523
2025-07-06 NaN 0.026476 0.288117 0.880957 1.822815 3.084545 4.777222
2025-07-13 NaN 0.023979 0.295626 0.925523 1.933867 3.289635 5.112491
2025-07-20 NaN 0.022724 0.307071 0.977194 2.055520 3.509013 5.466185
2025-07-27 NaN 0.025827 0.335397 1.059917 2.223199 3.789538 5.897321
2025-08-03 NaN 0.024197 0.345150 1.108591 2.340683 4.003768 6.245033
2025-08-10 NaN 0.018182 0.334831 1.119523 2.401930 4.143269 6.498298
2025-08-17 NaN 0.007352 0.289590 1.061083 2.357558 4.140783 6.570684
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001310 0.245165 0.997994 2.302604 4.121692 6.619987
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000025 0.220951 0.971981 2.302171 4.174385 6.759298
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.218239 0.991085 2.371929 4.322609 7.021417